PHOTOS: Andrew Scheer, demonstrating his vaunted smile. (Photo: Rabble.ca.) This fills corporate media with hope. It shouldn’t. In Canada, with or without a smile, social conservatism is ballot-box poison. Below: former prime minister Stephen Harper, who really doesn’t have a very nice smile at all. Below him, former PM Joe Clark and serving PM Justin Trudeau.
It was only the morning after the night before, but by early yesterday Canada’s corporate media seemed to have reached a solid consensus about the new leader of the federal Conservative Party: Andrew Scheer is Stephen Harper with a human face!
Naturally, this wasn’t exactly the way they put it. The way most corporate media outfits summed up the change atop the Conservative Party of Canada was that Mr. Scheer, the Saskatchewan MP and former Speaker of the House of Commons chosen by the Tories after several hours of faux suspense the night before, is Mr. Harper … with a smile.
Well, you have to give it to whatever is left of Canada’s “elite” media – conservatives all, presumably, to a man and woman – their faith in the notion the Canadian electorate is pretty dull and easy to fool is boundless.
These are, after all, the media corporations that before the 2015 federal election sent orders to their supposedly independent local franchises to run editorials supporting Mr. Harper or whoever the local Conservative was, or which, like the Globe and Mail, advised B.C. readers from its new Toronto aerie high above King Street East to hold their noses and vote for Christy Clark. The results? Not that effective.
So the thought that a new Stephen Harper with a human face will fix everything, restoring God to His heaven, order to His universe and Tories to Ottawa is a bit of a reach, even for them.
Never mind that in October 2015, the same voters sent the grimly self-righteous Mr. Harper and his neoliberal government packing, presumably fed up with its harsh tone, destructive market fundamentalism, and anti-science, anti-labour, anti-immigrant and anti-social policy agenda.
If we roll out the same policies advocated by a spokesperson with a less sinister smile and a modicum of charm, they seem to think, all will be well. Don’t count on it, if your definition of all’s well means Conservatives in power in the nation’s capital.
But they are mostly New Democrats still labouring under the impression their own party would act differently in government, notwithstanding the 2015 policy platform of their current leader, now reduced to interim status partly as a result.
Regardless, as an understanding of just who the unexpected Mr. Scheer actually is, the realization is already dawning on a lot of voters that while he may have a nicer smile than Mr. Harper, in some ways he is could even be worse.
The former Conservative prime minister paid ritual obeisance to the unchanging attitudes of his party’s social conservative base, but it’s said here he never really had any intention of doing anything about them. In truth, he was a dogmatic market fundamentalist ideologist, pure and simple, and the only thing self-evidently genuinely religious about him was his quasi-religious faith in the Almighty Market.
When it comes to so-con dogma, Mr. Scheer may or may not be closer to the real thing than Mr. Harper was, but he certainly owes the party’s social conservative base a heck of a lot more than Mr. Harper did. It was their votes, after all, that pushed him over the top.
And while like Mr. Harper, Mr. Scheer has said he won’t revisit the country’s abortion laws, he has thrown a bone to the social conservatives by proposing tax breaks for home and private schoolers.
But that may not be enough for the party’s so-cons, who are bound to be feeling their oats after pushing Mr. Scheer over the top Saturday. How will he say no when CPC social conservatives demand he re-open such divisive cans of political worms as the debates over abortion and same-sex marriage?
Well, hope springs eternal for Conservatives, just like the rest of us. But social conservatism is ballot-box poison in most parts of this country, and that’s only going to become more pronounced as time rolls on.
Mr. Scheer is almost certainly bright enough to recognize this, but he can only do something to remedy the problem by alienating the angry, volatile, religious zealots who got him elected and now surely feel they have the right to tell the party what to do next. If he does that, chances are they’ll stay home on election day.
If he turns out to be the true believer Mr. Harper wasn’t, on the other hand, he can push policies in good conscience that will send the majority of Canadian voters screaming back to the Liberals and Mr. Trudeau.
Unlike former Conservative prime minister Joe Clark, mentioned in this space yesterday, Mr. Scheer is not exactly showing up at a point in Mr. Trudeau’s career when voters are righteously sick of the prime minister, they way there were of his dad, Pierre Trudeau, in the late 1970s. At least, that is, until they got a short glimpse back then of Conservative government in action.
So despite Mr. Sheer’s supposedly human face, don’t bet the urban farm on him getting very far on the strength of a nice smile.