PHOTOS: Ever wonder what happened to Hazel? Do you still think Father Knows Best? Did you love Donna Reed? Will Alberta’s PCs decide to try to take us Forward to the Fifties … in Jim Prentice’s car? That’s The $64,000 Question! Below: Declared PC leadership candidates Richard Starke, Jason Kenney, Byron Nelson and Donna Kennedy-Glans.
Today marks the official opening of the Alberta Progressive Conservative Party leadership race, although it’s probably not the most important date in the third effort by the former Natural Governing Party of Alberta to recover the mojo that went missing when premier Ed Stelmach threw up his hands and announced he was quitting back in 2011.
Alberta’s Tories are praying there’s enough truth to save their bacon in the old saw “Third time’s a charm!”
Still, as has been said in this space before, and not all that long ago, Mr. Stelmach would probably be premier today if he’d stuck around, which would mean we’d be just done grimly marking the 45th year of Tory rule in Alberta.
Instead, we got Alison Redford as premier in 2012, to whom must go the credit for smashing the mould of Alberta politics forever, followed by pro tempore party leader, Dave Hancock, who also served as premier but wasn’t the beneficiary of an election by anyone except the PC caucus, and then by Jim Prentice, the nattily dressed former bank VP who looked great on paper and in the mirror but couldn’t deliver in person.
Instead of Premier Prentice on election night 2015, to everyone’s astonishment we got Premier Rachel Notley of the NDP. And this in what was supposedly the most conservative province in Canada. Mr. Prentice immediately quit in a huff and another interim leader, Ric McIver, took up the reins of what had become the third party in the Legislature for a spell.
Arguably, as others have observed, the race actually began back in early July when former Harper Government cabinet member Jason Kenney launched his unofficial pre-campaign campaign for the PC leadership on the understanding he was seeking a mandate to merge the party with the Wildrose Opposition through a process that can be fairly described as a reverse hostile takeover of the former by the latter.
This scheme has the paw prints of Preston Manning, godfather of the Canadian Right, all over it, as the old market fundamentalist relives the glory days when he used the Reform Party to take over Progressive Conservative Party of Canada in much the same way. That destroyed the federal PCs, as intended, and gave Canada a decade of Stephen Harper, from which the country will be recovering for some time yet.
Mr. Kenney’s official campaign slogan is “Unite Alberta,” a subtle tip o’ the frumpy fedora to the days when the PCs and the province were pretty well synonymous in the minds of plenty of Albertans and almost everyone else in Canada.
However, given the front-runner’s far-out social conservative beliefs, which are not really suited to the 21st Century, it really now should be “Forward to the Fifties with Jason Kenney!”
A couple of more candidates are expected to emerge from the woodwork before the deadline for nominations to join the race, Nov. 10, with such names as former Edmonton MLA Thomas Lukaszuk, Calgary MLA Sandra Jansen and Mr. McIver himself being bandied about.
Gone are the heady days when the PC Party chose its leaders with one vote per member – and PC activists told Albertans joining the party was the only way they could actually have any influence on who was going to run the place.
The party’s new leadership vote rules, complete with “Superdelegates,” seem to be designed to ensure the party establishment stays firmly in control, and no more catastrophic accidents like the election of Ms. Redford in 2011 will ever be allowed to happen again.
The rules are said by some to be designed to make it harder for Mr. Kenney to win, but they won’t necessarily have that effect if he’s running against a herd of candidates all taking the same position against him. So far, no one who agrees with Mr. Kenney about his Wildrose romance seems to want to run against him.
This suggests a strong Anybody But Kenney-buddy candidate will have to emerge at some point if PC Party members actually want to keep their party from turning into a Wildrose-like entity.
The new rules also require all candidates to disclose all their expenses and donations – but only from today on. Mr. Kenney, therefore, gets a pass on the loads of secret PAC dough he’s spent to date.
About 120 people showed up for the leadership election campaign launch last night in a modest Lethbridge hotel.
This post also appears on Rabble.ca.
as a delegated convention, there isn’t actually much worry of people ‘splitting the anti-Kenney vote.’ trailing candidates just pass their delegates up to like-minded alternatives as they get knocked out.
I would assume the worst place to be in this race is at the top of the not-Kenney pile, as you’ll be #2 on everyone else’s hit list after Kenney which makes it difficult to get those delegates from the people at the bottom. maybe this is why Jansen hasn’t formally entered the race yet.
Jim: I agree with this insofar as it goes. But there is also the risk – from the perspective of those who don’t want Jason Kenney to lead the party – that some of the I’m-not-Jason crowd will cut an 11th hour deal with him anyway, bringing along at least some of their supporters, for any of a variety of reasons, including simply wanting to side with the winner and a dislike of whatever anti-Kenney candidate that emerges at the top of the heap more visceral than their dislike of Mr. Kenney himself. Could any likely potential pro-PC candidate inspire such feelings? I can think of at least two.
Interesting from daveberta. Links to the websites of the candidates. Jason Kenny is using nationbuilder – a big American outfit. http://nationbuilder.com “Software for Leaders” they claim.
As is the provincial NDP
One small correction: “…former Calgary MLA Sandra Jansen …” According to the Assembly website, Ms Jansen is a current, not former, MLA … https://www.assembly.ab.ca/net/index.aspx?p=mla_contact&rnumber=22&leg=29
I think the PC’s could start by not looking for some great “savior” leader – that hasn’t worked so well for them the last few times. Perhaps they should try find someone with a bit of competence and experience that doesn’t offend too many of their supporters or other Albertans. Someone who isn’t arrogant or too in your face would be good right now also. I know that eliminates a number of candidates and potential candidates, but that is some free advice for what it is worth.
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