So long, Viktor Orbán!

Looks like almost nobody was sorry to see Mr. Orbán sent packing by voters yesterday, least of all in Hungary where he spent the previous 16 years creating a much-imitated template of a creeping far-right takeover of democratic institutions.
That “almost” in the previous sentence is doing a lot of work, obviously. There were bound to have been plenty of gloomy faces yesterday at the Munich headquarters of the misnamed International Democracy Union, the neoliberal internationale where another former prime minister, Stephen Harper, holds court.
Nowadays Mr. Harper also chairs the Crown corporation that manages the pensions for a lot of Albertans, which is something you should worry about if you’re an Alberta public employee, or merely an Albertan in the event, God help us, that the United Conservative Party gets its paws on our Canada Pension Plan savings. But I digress.
A couple of years ago, Mr. Harper and Mr. Orbán could be found trading mutually admiring tweets about, in Mr. Harper’s words at the time, “the importance of centre-right parties strengthening their collaboration.” As everyone in that public correspondence understood, there was nothing very centrist about Mr. Orbán’s Fidesz party, or for that matter many other parties in the IDU.
But Fidesz’s creep toward authoritarianism was just fine with Mr. Harper, as long as Mr. Orbán could be persuaded to be a little more open to the European Union funding Ukraine’s fight against Russia.

Without a doubt there were even longer faces yesterday in the White House, what’s left of it, in Washington D.C., where, presumably, the nearly 80-year-old president of the United States will soon be rage tweeting about Mr. Orbán’s defeat, if he isn’t already.
As geopolitically alert readers are undoubtedly aware, Donald J. Trump has been posting on his personal social media platform that he very much wanted to see Mr. Orbán re-elected. “My Administration stands ready to use the full Economic Might of the United States to strengthen Hungary’s Economy, as we have done for our Great Allies in the past, if Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and the Hungarian People ever need it,” he said last Friday. “We are excited to invest in the future Prosperity that will be generated by Orbán’s continued Leadership!”
Mr. Trump even sent his vice-president, the hapless JD Vance, to try to save Mr. Orbán. Mr. Vance instead seems to have delivered the kiss of political death on behalf of the president.
Given all that, Mr. Trump can be assumed to be very unhappy about the outcome of the Hungarian election, at least for as long as he remembers it.
Mr. Orbán is likely to be replaced as prime minister by someone ironically named Péter Magyar – which in translation might sound a little like “Prime Minister Mark Canadian” – who has his own history of sucking up to Mr. Trump on social media. But what the hell, sometimes a change is as good as a rest, and Mr. Magyar must by now be as aware as anyone that adopting the Mr. Trump’s Orbán-inspired MAGA playbook doesn’t seem to be working as well as it used to.

So we can presumably assume that Magyar MAGA, at least as far as rhetoric and appearances go, is a thing of the past.
But this brings me to the buried lead of this post, which is that nowadays, politicians who hitch their wagons to Mr. Trump’s falling star need to be aware that this is starting to look like a high-risk strategy, as Hungarian voters demonstrated yesterday.
Consider poor Pierre Poilievre, leader of the Conservative Party of Canada who for months we all gloomily assumed was our unpleasant fate to have as prime minister.
Mr. Poilievre’s election strategy was torn from the pages of the MAGA playbook, which didn’t play as well once Mr. Trump started calling Canada the 51st State and had his family and cabinet members start boosting Alberta separation on social media.

So what was Mr. Poilievre – who had based his strategy for several years on being the Antitrudeau – going to do in the face of Mr. Trump’s open contempt for Canada and Canadians? Change? Pivot? Not a chance! Not that guy.
Mr. Poilievre won’t change or he can’t change. Even the pleas of The National Post can’t get him to moderate his tone. It’s just not in him.
So now he sits, watching his caucus members break for the Liberal benches. Will this play out like bankruptcy: Slowly at first, then suddenly all at once? It certainly looks as if Mr. Carney won’t have to worry about calling another election till 2029. Today’s three by-elections will probably confirm this.
There are other examples of politicians who have adopted the MAGA playbook and fared not so well.
Former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro, voted out in an election 2022. In response, his supporters stormed the presidential palace, the Supreme Court and the Congress in Brasilia on Jan. 8, 2023. Sound familiar? He was sentenced to 27 years in jail. He’s currently under house arrest. Mr. Trump’s frantic threats and rage posts haven’t sprung him.

Former Australian Opposition Leader Peter Dutton, whose Liberal party was favoured to win a federal election in May 2025. Too much MAGA, though, and Labour got a pass and returned to power. Like Mr. Poilievre, Mr. Dutton even lost his own seat.
OK, this isn’t overwhelming evidence has acquired a reverse Midas touch. But it certainly suggests a trend. We await with great interest the results of the U.S. midterm elections in November – if they’re allowed to happen. The auguries suggest that may turn out to be the end of MAGA, at least until it resurrects itself under a new label.
Will Reform U.K. Leader Nigel Farage continue to channel Donald Trump, now that there are signs MAGA is no longer a sure winner, even in Airstrip One?
And what about our very own Danielle Smith here in Wild Rose Country? She has made Mr. Trump her political hero and her party is now clearly dominated by MAGA zealots, Christian nationalists, and outright separatists. Trump-style corruption appears widespread. There are signs Texas-style gerrymandering is waiting in the wings.
Will Ms. Smith be able to cut her ties to Trumpism, or can Wild Rose MAGA buck the trend? I don’t know the answers to those questions, but I have a feeling Ms. Smith’s ride may turn out to be a little bumpier than her polls right now suggest.

This far right lunacy is causing so much harm, but the brainwashed don’t see it. It’s because they are so blind. Regardless of what the polls say, Danielle Smith and her UCP gong show are going to end up sinking. She can only lie so much, before the end comes.
I feel if there is one thing history consistently tells us is that when the pendulum swings too far in one direction, it starts to swing back. In Hungary it seems to have taken 16 years and voters were fed up about corruption more than MAGA, but Trump’s endorsement sure did not seem to help. It is early in the week, but between this and the Mideast, the US VP already has two big strikes.
Now Trump hasn’t been in power for 16 years, it only seem so long, but people are already starting to tire of him due to overexposure, instability and posibly even more obvious corruption.
As for Alberta, I feel it could take a few more years for it to get there, particularly if oil prices continue to hold up. However Canada has felt the full force of MAGA bluster quite directly, which has created some consensus for a less partisan, more moderate political environment. This sudden change is one that Poilievre and the CPC sure have had trouble adapting to.
So does this mean that Marlaina’s latest meeting and ‘productive talks’ with Hungary’s Miklos Lengyel on March 20th were all for not?
What ever could they have been discussing, I wonder.
Dictatorship 101 ??
Mr Williams will be busy finding new books to ban on the ‘trans-ition’ of power.
nought not not!
j e morse ….it should have been ‘ all for naught’ …my bad
One can only hope that Trump does not call for regime change from Mr. Magyar in Hungary and start bombing.
As an aside, does anyone know why the CBC insists on referring to Pete Hegseth as the Secretary of War when American broadcasters refer to him as the Secretary of Defense?
Jaundiced Eye, Hegseth is the Secretary of War, because the orange blob changed the the Department of Defense to the Department of War, back in Sept. 25. So officially CBC is correct and the American broadcasters, may not be recognizing the new title.
take care.
I wonder if that is related to the new organization Mr. Trump created, Bored of Peace.
No not quite – Congress would have to formally approve the name. However, I could see where it is the practice of the CBC to follow the Head of State when it comes to other countries.
Perhaps because can refer to him as “Pete Hegseth, the US SoW”?
jrkrideau …knowing how sensitive Pete was to journalists not photographing his ‘good side’, he would be even more sensitive to being referred to as the SoD, especially by the British press.
Apparently, there are some active duty marines who refer to Hegseth as ‘Secretary of War Crimes’.
I suspect and hope things will get a lot more bumpier for Smith. All the distractions like data centers, pipelines, and on and on, do nothing to help the less fortunate folks or help anyone get better education or health care. Regardless of her MAGA style constant blathering, which she no doubt got from Trump, it is getting harder and harder to stomach her nattering. I just hope all those uneducated rural yokels wake up and see the garbage dictator style direction she is heading.
Orban’s demise has more to do with his time being over. Since there’s little else for an aging Hungarian Young Communist pioneer to do, apart from spying on everyone and making their lives miserable, it was time for him to go. And while the rumours are flying that ministers and officials of the Orban government have made themselves scarce, I suspect that there are more than a few who are willing to fill those roles. Maygar is a former Orban ally, so I have trouble believing in his Damascus conversion to pluralism. It’s like that old song that goes “Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.”
JM: As per my careful comments in my story, I’m not shocked to hear this. I suspected as much. DJC
Mr. Harper has always been behind Orban and for some reason I would like to understand, it has always been made like a little family secret no one wants to talk about. Let us, timid progressives say it out loud. Steven Harper supports autocrats from within a so called Democratic institution. This is a disgusting story that has lasted 16 years and Steven Harper is now invited to talk to people like Jean Chretien and Carney as if the man deserves to say a word about Democracy.
Pierre Poilievre is another one that likes to walk and have coffee with White Nationalists but WOW he wants to be prime minister.
Let us get this people where they belong.
At least in Brazil they showed us how they value not just the rule of law but respect for Democracy and sent their Trump Clone to jail where he deserves to be.
Danielle Smith is not even worth my time typing. She is an ignorant of the highest level pretending to even have a brain.
Did you hear about the new soap opera starring Stephen Harper? It’s called “All my Children/Politics”.
Jason Kenney stars in the “Dallas” episode, featuring a debate with someone in a black cowboy hat. It takes place in a private club for the oil patch elite.
The “Trailer Park Boys” episode shows Pierre Poilievre stumbling out of a trailer in Sunnyvale, asking Julian how to sleep in the trunk of a car.
Art, meet reality.
LOL I did not know that. Thank you
Of course!
You might have noticed the remarkable similarity between Julian in his black T-shirt and Pierre in his black T-shirt. Not a coincidence. Sunnyvale location: Nova Scotia. Diagolon trailer: N.S./N.B. border. This episode will have an exciting theme song.
https://youtu.be/yuTMWgOduFM?si=pWgnW3S5Nw4BG_jm
Or maybe the entire season of this new series was all a dream/nightmare?
Fun fact. This series could be called “All in the Con-Family” because Ricky is Harper’s cousin.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robb_Wells
How’s that for a soap?
I sure hope PP and Harper get JD Vance to come stump for the Conservative Party of Canada and Vance’s BFF Jamil Jivani.
Make haste to Redwood Meadows, Marlaina! Only nine more years until the UCP match Viktor Orbán’s record. Batten the hatches at Chez Harper. Man the battle stations! Pick a new Mar-a-Lago face mentor!
Just saying that there are a number of books about fascism on my to-read list right now, starting with this one:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/How_Fascism_Works
Getting tossed out by the voters in an electoral landslide doesn’t sound very authoritarian to me if you know what I mean.
The interesting question is will Péter Magyar continue Orbán’s policy of blocking some of the crazier ideas of Ursula von der Leyen and Kaja Kallas in Brussels.
I think @Just Me has it correct that Orbán’s time was over. If anything letting Vance into the country let alone standing on a stage with him suggests he is out of touch with people.
Magyar does not sound like a flaming left–winger.
You’re on point here jrkrideau. Ursula von der Leyen, Kaja Kallas and the crowd in Brussels are far more to worry about than Victor Orban. The crazies running the EU are far more dangerous to us and to civilization and I suspect Maygar will just go along with them rather than what’s best for Hungary. Hungary is a pretty insignificant country all around so Orban or Maygar what does it matter to us – except at least Orban offered some resistance to the keepers of the Garden.
“So we can presumably assume that Magyar MAGA, at least as far as rhetoric and appearances go, is a thing of the past.” I’m not so sure DJC is right here, as recently as two years ago Magyar was a big-time Fidesz and Orban supporter, and as this blog post points out is also a Trumpian. Do not expect to see Pride Month declared in Hungary soon. Hungary is a very conservative country and Mr. Magyar’s party Tisza is nothing more than a centre-right party not much different from Fidesz except on the EU file – and the EU is an authoritarian structure if there ever was one.
The Trumpian MAGA crowd can just as easily drop the Trump part but their drive to fascism continues with some success (hello Alberta). Sure Bolsonaro got punted in Brazil but Javier Milei won the presidency of Argentina and he is so far to the extreme right if the earth was flat he might fall off.
Speaking of the “Keepers of the Garden.” Ideas of Canada joining the EU keep popping up. Just imagine our trade westwards (China for example) being dictated by the likes of von der Leyen and Kallas?
“We are excited to invest in the future Prosperity that will be generated by Orbán’s continued Leadership!”
In other words, like taking candy from the proverbial baby, it is the excitement of a political criminal class seeing further opportunities to fleece the state, both foreign and domestic, at the expense of the despised rabble.
And where these particular political birds of a feather flock together corruption and pleonexia are normalized to the point at which they are merely background noise. So for example,
1. “Independent lawmaker Akos Hadhazy, one of Hungary’s leading anti‑corruption crusaders, said graft has drained the equivalent of €2.84 billion from state coffers every year since 2016. . . . While Orban claims to live modestly, several members of his family have grown spectacularly rich since his return to power in 2010.”
2. “The White House has seen its share of shady deals. Ulysses S. Grant’s brother-in-law used his family ties to engineer an insider-trading scheme that tanked the gold market. Warren Harding’s secretary of the interior secretly leased land to oil barons, who paid a fortune for his troubles. To bankroll Richard Nixon’s reelection, corporate executives sneaked suitcases full of cash into the capital.”
“But Americans have never witnessed anything like the corruption that President Donald Trump and his inner circle have perpetrated in recent months. Its brazenness, volume, and variety defy historical comparison, even in a country with a centuries-long history of grift—including, notably, Trump’s first four years in office. Indeed, his second term makes the financial scandals of his first—foreign regimes staying at Trump’s hotel in Washington, D.C.; the (aborted) plan to host the G7 at Trump’s hotel in Florida—seem quaint.”
It would seem good advice that Danielle Smith distance herself from tRumpublicanism, judging from the fates of those whom the Orbange One (oh!–can I say that anymore?) endorses, both in the USoA and abroad–and even here in the “51st State,” naturally, because we share the longest border, only occasionally defended, with our elephantine econo-strategic partner.
The craziest Canadian election I ever saw owed its drama to Donald F tRump to whom Conservative leader of His Majesty’s Loyal Opposition had–with a little help from his fabulated arch-enemy, JT–been irrevocably handcuffed. Mere months before the last general election pollsters were giving Pierre Poilievre upwards of 95% odds that he’d become prime minister, but just a whiff of spray-on carotene was enough to erase and reverse those odds and lose his own seat of 21 years (tRump, apparently so-advised, was careful NOT to endorse Poilievre, but of course blew it, as usual, by saying too much in his distinctive way most people take as gleeful insincerity–that is, lying: I don’t really care who wins; I hope he doesn’t win; I don’t know who he is; I never heard of him. But that was enough to match tRump’s gigantic bag of soiled diapers to PP’s reminiscent rhetoric).
Perhaps having failed in Canada’s case, tRump tried the other way around with the Hungarian election. I sensed Orbán looked very happy about tRump’s typically overwrought endorsement, replete with unabashed appeal to favouritism and bribery, delivered in doubly dubious measure by JD “Veep” Vance who somehow manages to double his satirical caricature of which the characterization “hapless” is probably too generous by half. Indeed, Orbán’s expression under JD’s firehose of blandishments was rather more like a simple “I am so fucked…” It doubtlessly reverberates in the Oval but, naturally, for every wrong reason except irony.
Is there any identifiable contrition from politicians who regret getting the Orange-Goo-Tan tat? The would-be Aussie PM’s concession speech seemed to express a little. It appears Italy’s Regina della destra partigiana, Giorgia Meloni, has given the boot to tRump’s heavy-handed desperation despite their initial buddy-rightism. The EU and its NATO members have been earnest in trying to appease the rug-topped rogue–only to concede that earnestness doesn’t earn an Oscar but, rather, puts a bullseye on their backs. Their not-so-secret weapon is, of course, that they don’t risk tRump’s poisonous “friendship.” By literal definition, idiots don’t have any friends. But what keeps unapologetic sickofans under the misspelled trance of Captain Allcaps?
It probably relates to the Q whether PP won’t or can’t hive off of the rank MAGA battle line: the regressive conservative right hammers its pitons into social seams mythologically baked-in; once so-secured, it becomes legitimizing as citable history. Its demagogic quotient is as strong as certain baked-in elements of any clan, nation, or alliance are real. tRump thrives on the indelible anxiety of the newborn republic, although he need not bother with details that at its now-glorified birth it was financially exhausted, strategically weak and surrounded or infested by perceived enemies– European imperialism, slave revolt, and scalping “Indians”, all of which inspired the Rebellion itself, thence the War of 1812, the Spanish-American War, the US Civil War, and the Seminole War–at 42 years, America’s longest combat engagement. For a Cohn-trained psychopath and history ignoramus it’s a mere hop, skip and jump to: “they’re [the mythological “other”] ripping us off,” and worse: “they’re laughing at us,” “they are killing and raping us,” screwing the dissonance of perverse US reproductive prudishness and propriety of porn deep into the xenophobic scar that stretches across the nation’s body politic and authorizes sledgehammer reaction to the slightest weeping from the tactically-picked scab of American bigotry. It’s baked-in so tRump always finds it easy to scratch. It’s simple so he will always fancy himself a genius even as the real complexity of domestic politics and foreign diplomacy repeatedly reveals him a done-in Krieger–which explains how he constantly brags about passing a screening test designed to detect cognitive impairment–like, not even as hard as the grade-six-level english entrance exam I passed at UVic (out of about 300, not only the only 100% mark, but also the only one who passed at all!–not bragging, just lamenting…)
But how does Danielle Smith get away with her unabashed association with tRump? The answer might be found in what’s baked into Alberta’s heart and soul: its historical struggle with the federal government, a scar, as ‘t were, that might have healed over had not the players played their respective parts–Lougheed tried to heal, PET clawed the scab. Et cetera–there’s always something to crow about at any rate.
It’s deeper than oil and broader than bitumen, and so obviously unhelpful that political balms have repeatedly been pragmatically applied, then ideologically torn away.
It’s not unique to Alberta that ideological opportunists can be found anywhere there’s history. In BC’s case the distinctiveness Cascadians need not imagine indelibly etched by the Continental Divide rationalizes demands for extras on top of the original 1871 bribe (a free railway to Canada, blithely illegal negligence of treaty-making, massive land grants to private industry, &c) just as there is no ‘final instalment’ to a blackmailer. Quebec “always remembers” the Conquest (Carney needn’t have reminded anyone but himself) and nurtures similar demands for extras on top of its original inducements –its french-speaking Catholic culture allowed on condition it never avail its then-four-to-one advantage of population over Loyalist anglophones after the most powerful part of British North America hived off in 1775-89. It’s the other way around now: Quebec’s population is a bit less than a quarter of Canada’s but the mythic source is as viable as ever.
For Upper Canada the always-available seam is the fact that the US Rebellion necessitated its umbilical fraternity with its francophone twin (including Roman Britannia/Gaul, Norman dukedom/kingdom, the Angevin Empire, and two World Wars, this scar is very, very deep). Ontario’s preoccupation with this continual rebranding hasn’t gone unnoticed by peripheral federates–indeed, it underwrites some of their own mythoi.
Manitoba and other western federates-come-lately take their turns around the edges while Newfoundland-Labrador reminds the Maritimes of their lost mercantile importance that once flourished and grew. In fact, Alberta rocks back and forth between nose-thumbing Quebec and/or Ontario, between allegedly favoured Quebec and elites holistically named “East” who should altogether be left to “freeze in the dark.” So much for distinction. It is the narratological nature of human organization to find the raw ingredients anywhere there’s history.
Alberta’s schizophrenia features fascinating irony: the recent inflation of patriotism tRump’s threats and insults inspires in the ROC aligns or factors somewhat with Alberta’s own, provincial loyalties, thus secessionist and federalist sentiments can beat in one heart. Dual loyalty is supposed to be beneficial. Polls suggest the UCP benefits from standing up to Ottawa, as usual, but as many petition signers acknowledge, subscription to secessionism is significantly underpinned by a sovereign Alberta standing up WITH Ottawa, only on better terms. Recall that at one time separatists included all four western provinces, naturally because all of them, like all eleven Canadian sovereignties, have baked-in historical demands of one sort or another for better federal terms. So much for distinctiveness: Alberta separatists have since lengthened their pitons to bear more upon sticky sand than upon western alienation, now aggressively insulting Casacadia–uh, I mean, BC–and punting Saskatchewan aside like a spatted WC Fields a bothersome street urchin (since seen hangin’ out in Asia with Eby–and having a pretty good time, too). In short, some Albertans admit to endorsing secession only to get Ottawa’s attention, not to–you know–actually separate– kinda like an 8 year-old’s misspelled note signifying an afternoon of running away from home forever.
This contributes substantially to the UCP’s superior poll numbers (in addition to the frustratingly measured opposition of Naheed “dry-powder” Nenshi) in spite of Smith’s unabashed affiliation with MAGA Logo. The real question is whether this fortune-upon-a-knife-edge of public opinion, perched as ‘t were upon the timeless clouds of mythology, can weather down-to-earth general election ballot marking. So long’s we are transfixed by the uncertainties of our moment, Smith can get away with stuff, but does it translate favourably in the only poll that counts?
Perhaps Alberta could be called a “distinct culture” if it bucks the trend of fatal snake-handling, maybe even see Smith re-elected (for the first time?–I’ve lost count…) neither of which would be as disturbing as bucking the Constitution in order to separate illegally–which at present is the only way to do it.
Right now the entire planet is about Trumped out.
His disasters in the middle east will sink him soon, possibly literally.
So sucking up to his regime is the Political Kiss Of Death ™ right now.
The breakdownab substack has published an interesting article about the corruptcare scandal. Lots of detailed information.
Orban is a fascist and Magyar is a fascist. Skippy is a fascist and so is the Carny Banker. The choice these days is polite fascists or boorish fascists. The Ukrainian state under Krusty the Krooked Klown of Kiev is fascist and the Russian state under Putin is fascist. The question is whether or not the fascists in Europe will get the green light to escalate the US proxy war in the Ukraine to WW3-scale bloodshed.
I feel that the lines in the political sand no longer exist. Carney worked hand in hand with Harper on economic strategy. There is a common thread throughout both of their times involved in world trade and banking – making the rich richer. I see two British loyalists who have placed rubbing elbows (forget elbows up) with the elites as their personal priority. It would appear that they both have been willing to sell off Canadian resources to foreign entities with the side effect of filling their own coffers and elevating themselves to the international trough. Insider trading and outright corruption have left Canada vulnerable in all ways.
The Canadian military lacks oversight, and the RCMP seem to operate independently of Canadian law – both of which have long ties to Freemasonry. And the courts do not prosecute. These are all institutions of the CROWN.
In Paris there is an ongoing court case against the mason Mafia there. I sincerely hope that those who have boots on the ground are understanding how they were used to feed the rich and helped to create the world we must now try to live in.
Just to touch one last time on the derp of liberals/progs/social democrats, Magyar immediately invited Netanyahu to Budapest to mark the 70th anniversary of the Hungarian Uprising. You may recall that Netanyahu is a fugitive from the International Criminal Court because he is a mass murderer. What you may not recall is what the kooky, grifting mass murderer has to do with the Hungarian uprising. Only social democrats know for sure.